Hudson Webb
Mar 8, 2025
In this article we will detail the Titans' top skill players ceiling and floors stas-wise.
The Tennessee Titans are on the cusp of a transformative season in 2025–26, hinging on the development of revamped skill-position groups: quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers. With rookie Cam Ward installed as the unquestioned starter, Tennessee is betting on Ward's aggressive playmaking to unlock the offense. Behind him, the backfield features a dynamic duo: ex-Memphis star Tony Pollard, fresh off a 1,079-yard season, and shifty dual-threat Tyjae Spears, complemented by depth pieces like Julius Chestnut and rookie Kalel Mullings. At receiver, the Titans boast a potent arsenal: veterans Van Jefferson, Calvin Ridley, and newly-signed Tyler Lockett, plus rising talents Treylon Burks, Chimere Dike, Elic Ayomanor, Xavier Restrepo and a group of late-rounders all vying for targets.
This essay will forecast each player’s statistical ceiling and floor—analyzing Cam Ward’s passing yardage and touchdown upside under a fortified O-line, Pollard and Spears’ rushing and receiving splits, and the wideout corps’ potential swoons or breakout years. Anchored in the July 7 depth chart, these projections will poke holes, build hype, and ultimately answer: who emerges, and who fades when Tennessee’s new-look offense takes the field.
Let’s dive in.
(All projections are based on a 17 game scale. Injuries will not be predicted.)
Cam Ward
Ceiling
3850 Passing Yards
69% Completion %
27 TDs
7 Ints
96 Passer Rating
Floor
2850 Passing Yards
58% Completion %
13 TDs
16 INTs
72 Passer rating
Our ceiling on Cam Ward seems unreasonable, but look at what rookie quarterbacks have done in the last few years. CJ Stroud and Jayden Daniels in 2023 and 2024 respectively led their teams to shocking playoff berths and wins. On top of that, they both lit up the stat sheet and put up the best rookie quarterback season of up to their season. Although it would be perfectly normal and expected if Ward didn’t even get close to such seasons, it’s not out of the realm of possibility. Cam Ward has spent the last 5 years as a starter at the D-1 level of NCAA football which gives him a plethora of experience. If he can tap into all of those years of success immediately, don’t be shocked if 300 yard games are coming easy. But, of course, rookies struggle and if everything goes wrong, the floor we projected is very much possible. On top of bad quarterback play, Tennessee’s play calling was far from good or even average in 2024. If this continues, Cam Ward’s growth as a player could be stunted and numbers like this could be the by-product. If numbers like this occur expect a total overhaul in the coaching staff with Head Coach Brian Callahan and Offensive Coordinator Nick Holz facing the boot.
Tony Pollard
Ceiling
Carries: 270
Yards: 1275
Yards per Carry: 4.8
Rushing Touchdowns: 11
Fumbles: 0
Floor
Carries: 165
Yards: 600
Yards Per Carry: 3.2
Rushing Touchdowns: 3
Fumbles: 5
Tony Pollard is a very interesting player heading into 2025. He was, in my opinion, the most underappreciated player on the team in 2024. He somehow maintained an impressive season while behind the crapshoot that was the 2024 Titan’s offense. He has been lost in the shuffle in many top ten and running back rankings across sport’s analyst and I have to feel the Titans’ utter offensive incompetence in 2024 is correlated with that. The ceiling season I am projecting is if he continues his grit from last year behind an even better 2025 offense that knows how to support and block for him. On the other hand, if the analyst's perception of him as washed and past his prime have truth to them, then the floor we projected could occur. This season could only take place if Tyjae Spears takes a major step forward and takes the job while he trends downwards and loses many steps. In short, I don’t think his floor will occur and I believe we will see a Tony Pollard Renaissance, at least as the media’s concerned, and he will have a great year.
Tyjae Spears
Ceiling
Carries: 200
Yards: 820
Yards per Carry: 5.3
Rushing Touchdowns: 9
Fumbles: 0
Floor
Carries: 84
Yards: 325
Yards Per Carry: 3.6
Rushing Touchdowns: 2
Fumbles: 4
As you can see Tyjae Spears’ Ceiling and Floor fluctuate quite a bit. This goes back to what I said in Pollard's section about how there is a world where Spears takes Pollard's spot as lead back at some point in the season. This, to me, is extremely unlikely and if it were to occur, would probably only give SPears the edge on carries by a slim margin, Tennessee instead electing to go to a pure running back by committee approach. His ceiling is still very high for a person who would have to earn the starting spot, however. His floor is more likely than I’d wish but still has a very low chance of happening. This would be if Spears is not at all the guy we all know he can be and a younger guy like Kalael Mullings or a veteran like Julius Chestnut takes his spot as RB2.
Calvin Ridley
Ceiling
Receiving Yards: 1400
Catches: 100
Touchdowns: 10
Floor
Receiving Yards: 650
Catches: 55
Touchdowns: 3
These projections are once again on the wild side. Our ceiling for Calvin Ridley is the dream scenario for Titans fans. Cam Ward has already been heard saying Ridley is the best wide receiver he’s ever thrown to and unlike anything he’s ever seen. Ridley also somehow managed a 1000 yard season out of Will Levis and Mason Rudolph’s antics, a feat only Titan’s fans can truly appreciate. If Ridley can reach his prime self and rely on consistency, something he’s lacked since he left Atlanta 3 years ago, then this isn’t the craziest thing ever conceived. But sadly, age catches up with everyone. If father time truly catches Ridley this year, an abysmal season like this is not out of the question. This would leave the Titan’s in much disarray due to his contract, his role as our wide receiver one, and his duties as mentor of Cam Ward, so here's to hoping this is a nightmare and not real life.
Tyler Lockett
Ceiling
Receiving Yards: 950
Catches: 70
Touchdowns: 7
Floor
Receiving Yards: 400
Catches: 35
Touchdowns: 2
Tyler Lockett enters the 2025 season as the seasoned vet in a young, unproven Titans receiver room, and while the ceiling numbers might not jump off the page, they would still represent a crucial role in Tennessee’s offense. A 950-yard, 70-catch, 7-touchdown campaign would make him the ideal safety valve for Cam Ward, reliable, clutch, and smooth in the slot. If Ward needs a calming presence in chaotic moments, Lockett could be that guy. And let’s not forget: he’s done this before. Lockett has six 800+ yard seasons on his résumé and has long been one of the most efficient route-runners in the league. But we can’t ignore the other side of the coin. At 33, his speed may finally dip, and with younger options vying for snaps, like Elic Ayomanor or Chimere Dike, it’s possible Lockett becomes more of a rotational piece than a featured weapon. A 400-yard season with minimal usage would sting, especially if he can’t separate the way he used to. For a team hoping to develop a rookie quarterback, Lockett’s ability to remain productive and available may be the difference between growing pains and complete offensive dysfunction.
Chigoziem Okonkwo
Ceiling
Receiving Yards: 790
Catches: 65
Touchdowns: 6
Floor
Receiving Yards: 300
Catches: 25
Touchdowns: 2
If Chigoziem Okonkwo hits his ceiling in 2025, it’ll be the long-awaited breakout Titans fans have been whispering about for the past two seasons. Cam Ward has already shown a tendency to favor big targets over the middle in camp, and Okonkwo’s athletic profile still flashes like a jumbo-sized wideout in a tight end’s body. If the offensive line holds up and Ward develops as projected, Chig could quietly finish top three on the team in receptions and touchdowns—maybe even top two in red zone looks. But the floor? That’s the tough part. We’ve seen Chig disappear for stretches before, especially when asked to block more than catch. If he falls out of favor in a crowded offense, drops become an issue, or Gunnar Helm eats into his snaps, he could finish the year as an afterthought. That’s not just a stat-line concern—it would raise serious questions about whether Okonkwo is the long-term answer at TE1 or just another flash-in-the-pan athlete.
Gunnar Helm
Ceiling
Receiving Yards: 512
Catches: 35
Touchdowns: 5
Floor
Receiving Yards: 143
Catches: 16
Touchdowns: 1
As for Gunnar Helm, his ceiling is the definition of pleasant surprise. If Helm finds chemistry with Ward and earns early trust in short-yardage and play-action looks, he could become a sneaky red-zone contributor and fan favorite by midseason. Sure, the Titans didn’t draft him expecting 600 yards and six touchdowns, but that’s exactly what a ceiling season from Helm would look like: modest stats, big moments, and a cult following in Nashville. On the flip side, the floor for Helm is...well, invisible. If Okonkwo stays healthy and the WR depth chart eats up the target share, Helm might spend most of the season as a glorified sixth lineman, chipping edge rushers and catching a stray pass or two every few games. Not every rookie tight end gets to shine, and in a worst-case scenario, Helm might not even get to show the team what he really can do.